Stoke City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1951 |
STO
1 - 2
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
STO
1 - 6
TOT
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
FUL
5 - 0
STO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
MUD
4 - 0
STO
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 3
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
NEW
7 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
BUR
6 - 1
WBA
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOT
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |