Stoke City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
STO
1 - 3
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
DER
2 - 3
STO
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
STO
3 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |