Stoke City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
3 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
6 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
STO
4 - 2
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1923 |
PNE
4 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
3 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |