Stoke City vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
STO
0 - 0
IPS
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 3
STO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STO
0 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
WBA
1 - 1
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
WHU
0 - 0
BHA
49%
24%
28%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
BHA
4 - 2
TOT
34%
25%
42%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
CRY
1 - 1
BHA
25%
25%
49%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BHA
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BHA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |