Stoke City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
BPO
0 - 2
STO
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
STO
3 - 0
GRI
72%
16%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
STO
3 - 0
HUR
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
GRI
2 - 5
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 0
MUD
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
OPA
3 - 0
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 2
BRE
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
BRE
1 - 3
OPA
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
GRI
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |