Stoke City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
PNE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
CHL
1 - 1
STO
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
DER
5 - 0
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 2
STO
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 3
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
GRI
0 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
4 - 1
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
5 - 0
BRE
52%
22%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |