Stoke City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
STO
0 - 1
WOL
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
COV
1 - 3
STO
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
STO
3 - 2
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 0
STO
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
TOT
2 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRY
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
NTT
5 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |