Stoke City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
STO
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 0
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
STO
0 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
GAT
0 - 1
BOL
16%
20%
65%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |