Stoke City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
STO
2 - 2
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1946 |
STO
0 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
MID
2 - 2
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1939 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
CHL
4 - 3
BOL
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1946 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1946 |
STO
0 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |