Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
TOT
1 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
COV
2 - 3
STO
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
IPS
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
BIR
1 - 3
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
COV
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1984 |
BIR
2 - 1
WBA
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
BIR
3 - 0
WHU
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |