Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
STO
2 - 1
WHU
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
COV
2 - 0
STO
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
STO
0 - 2
ARS
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
LEE
3 - 1
STO
63%
21%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 3
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 1
IPS
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
DER
2 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
BIR
3 - 1
LIV
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
MID
3 - 0
BIR
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 3
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |