Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
STO
1 - 1
BBU
46%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
STO
0 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
NTT
3 - 1
STO
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
STO
3 - 1
FUL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
BPO
3 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 0
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1965 |
LIV
4 - 3
BIR
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |