Stoke City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
TOT
1 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
COV
2 - 3
STO
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
STO
1 - 0
IPS
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
WHU
3 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
ASV
4 - 0
WOL
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
ASV
1 - 0
EVE
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |