Stoke City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
NOR
4 - 2
STO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
WAT
1 - 0
STO
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
STO
5 - 2
WHU
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 2
STO
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
ASV
1 - 0
BHA
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
COV
0 - 0
ASV
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 2
DBU
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 0
TOT
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |