Stoke City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
STO
0 - 1
WOL
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 0
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
STO
1 - 0
BPO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 1
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 3
EVE
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
OPA
3 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
ASV
4 - 2
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
SHW
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |