Stoke City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
6 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
STO
4 - 2
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1923 |
PNE
4 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
STO
4 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1923 |
BBU
1 - 5
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
6 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |