Stoke City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
19%
25%
55%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
STO
3 - 2
FUL
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
STO
3 - 1
YOR
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
STO
0 - 1
BIR
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
STO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
4 - 2
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
22%
24%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
OPA
1 - 4
ARS
19%
23%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |