Stoke City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
STO
0 - 1
LEI
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1977 |
STO
0 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
STO
1 - 0
QPR
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
IPS
0 - 1
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
STO
0 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
QPR
2 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 2
WBA
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 4
IPS
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1977 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
MID
4 - 1
ARS
47%
28%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |