Stoke City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
STO
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
STO
4 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
STO
2 - 2
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
EVE
1 - 1
STO
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
STO
5 - 3
WOL
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 1
BPO
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
BPO
1 - 0
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
1 - 2
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |