Stoke City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1937 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1937 |
PNE
2 - 1
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1937 |
STO
2 - 0
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 1
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
STO
3 - 1
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1937 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1937 |
ARS
4 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |