Stoke City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
STO
3 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
SHW
0 - 1
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
STO
81%
12%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 3
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |