Stoke City U21 vs Sunderland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
20
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
STC
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STC
2 - 2
NOR
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 0
STC
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STC
3 - 3
AVI
25%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
STC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 1
LUS
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
SUN
28%
22%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 3
WBA
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 4
SUN
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |