Stoke City U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
41
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
STC
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
STC
4 - 0
DCO
72%
15%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
4 - 0
STC
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STC
2 - 3
SUN
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
STC
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 0
LUS
22%
22%
57%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
WBA
1 - 5
NOT
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
NOR
12%
19%
70%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
NOT
62%
18%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
STC
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |