Stoke City Sub 21 vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
51.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
23
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 0
STC
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
STC
0 - 0
SLR
6%
14%
81%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
NOT
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
STC
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
NWC
2 - 2
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
NWC
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
NWC
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 2
NWC
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |