Stoke City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NOT
1 - 1
STO
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STO
2 - 1
EVE
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MCI
4 - 1
STO
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
MAN
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DER
0 - 3
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
1 - 4
DER
32%
21%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DER
0 - 3
SUN
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 3
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DER
3 - 5
MCI
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |