Stoke City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
STO
0 - 4
WOL
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STO
2 - 0
MCI
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +5 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
STO
1 - 3
BUR
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 2
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
MAN
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |