Stoke City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WBA
3 - 2
STO
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 2
STO
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 4
STO
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIV
3 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STO
0 - 3
WOL
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DER
5 - 1
MAN
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DER
4 - 1
MID
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
DER
15%
18%
68%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DER
1 - 3
WBA
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |