Stoke City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
STO
2 - 2
SUN
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WOL
1 - 3
STO
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LIV
3 - 1
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STO
4 - 2
EVE
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MCI
1 - 2
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DER
3 - 1
LIV
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MID
0 - 2
DER
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 3
DER
14%
17%
68%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
DER
2 - 1
WOL
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |