Stoke City U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
43.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STO
5 - 2
NEW
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WBA
0 - 1
STO
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STO
2 - 5
EVE
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
BLA
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 2
DER
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
WOL
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DER
1 - 5
LIV
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 1
DER
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |