Stockport County vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 2
STO
42%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
STO
3 - 2
YEO
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHO
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 3
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 2
GUI
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |