Stockport County vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 3
STO
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
TOW
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STO
3 - 0
CUR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
4 - 5
TOW
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 4
BLY
11%
19%
70%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NUN
0 - 1
GAI
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
DAR
4 - 3
GAI
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 2
LEA
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |