Stockport County vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STO
0 - 2
HER
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
CUM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DER
0 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HUL
1 - 2
DER
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DER
0 - 2
SHW
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |