Stockport County vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
STO
0 - 0
TRA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HER
0 - 1
STO
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 2
STO
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STO
1 - 2
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 1
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COL
5 - 0
CUM
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
CUM
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 3
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MKD
3 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |