STM Sports vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
74.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
STM Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CTF
0 - 5
STM
9%
13%
78%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STM
0 - 0
CWM
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
STM
3 - 4
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 6
STM
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 5
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
40%
23%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |