STK Eilvese vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
18º
17º
31
8º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
STK Eilvese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
HAV
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SVM
2 - 1
STE
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
RAE
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STE
5 - 0
VOR
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +6 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TUB
4 - 0
STE
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BSV
4 - 1
AHA
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AHA
2 - 3
SCH
19%
19%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AHA
1 - 3
ADF
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVM
3 - 2
AHA
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AHA
1 - 1
MEC
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |