Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-4
Stjarnan vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 3
STJ
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 2
STJ
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 2
FHH
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 4
STJ
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
4 - 0
BAN
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 2
STJ
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MHE
0 - 2
FUL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
MHE
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 1
ICT
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 1
STJ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |