Stinatz vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STI
4 - 2
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
STI
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STI
1 - 0
PUR
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
STI
49%
22%
30%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
JEN
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
KLI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 0
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAU
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |