Stinatz vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 0
STI
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STI
0 - 0
STG
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 0
STI
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 0
JEN
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAU
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
BAU
3 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 2
DRA
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 2
BAU
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |