Stevenage vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
STE
58%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
STE
2 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STE
3 - 0
OLD
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
STE
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
STE
3 - 3
OPA
7%
15%
79%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 4
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 0
SAL
80%
16%
5%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 2
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |