Stevenage vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
STE
3 - 0
ROT
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
STE
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STE
3 - 1
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
STE
4 - 2
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
HUL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DON
0 - 3
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
WBA
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
BUR
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 0
REA
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |