Stevenage vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
STE
2 - 2
MAC
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
STE
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
YOR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GAT
0 - 1
STE
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
KID
0 - 2
STE
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
COV
2 - 0
OPA
21%
27%
51%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
OPA
1 - 0
FUL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
AME
2 - 1
OPA
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
CHL
1 - 0
OPA
93%
6%
1%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
EVE
1 - 0
OPA
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |