Stevenage vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 3
STE
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 2
STE
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STE
0 - 0
KID
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
HIS
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KID
1 - 5
STE
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
2 - 1
GAT
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TAM
0 - 0
OXF
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 1
KET
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 2
HAY
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |