Stevenage vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
STE
1 - 5
OXF
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
STE
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 1
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
WYC
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
3 - 3
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 2
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIL
1 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 1
SCU
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
GIL
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 3
GIL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |