Stevenage vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STF
3 - 1
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
STE
2 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 2
STE
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
SCA
2 - 2
STE
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ALD
2 - 0
STE
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
ALD
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 3
DAG
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
STA
4 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |