Stevenage vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
YEO
0 - 6
STE
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
PNE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
STE
26%
29%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
WYC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
BOU
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 1
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
SCU
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 1
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 1
HUR
28%
24%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 2
CUM
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |