Stevenage vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 1
STE
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STE
1 - 2
NOR
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 2
STE
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 0
STE
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
YEO
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
BCF
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BCF
3 - 0
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
BCF
0 - 3
OPA
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BCF
3 - 1
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 1
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |