Stevenage vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 2
STE
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
YEO
0 - 6
STE
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
PNE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 0
OLD
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 4
BCF
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 0
BOU
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
4 - 1
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
BCF
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |