Stevenage vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 0
STE
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
STE
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
ALD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
STE
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 3
WYC
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
LIN
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 0
BAR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |