Stevenage vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
STE
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
BRA
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
STE
27%
27%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
STE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 0
STF
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
STA
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
STO
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |