Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
STE
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
SHE
43%
25%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
STE
3 - 0
BCF
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 2
STE
60%
22%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
OPA
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 1
STF
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
GUL
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |